![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png){kind=small}
Some Distressingly Realistic Predictions
Mar. 12th, 2022 07:54 pmI've mentioned Sharon Astyk on here a few times before-- and I'm definitely paying attention to her feed far more for her essays than the links she shares. And today she's written this horrifying essay on the subject of what Putin's actual endgame is.
It is terrifyingly plausible. And, well, just flat-out terrifying: essentially, that Putin is playing the really, really long game and banking on the Russia having "we endure horrible things" baked into their national mythos so much that if he can damage the global economy enough-- and sanctions on Russia are damaging the rest of the global economy, and as long as China will still trade with Russia, Russia can actually survive that-- Russia will pull through the chaos on that austere-tradition-and-endurance thing while the rest of the globe falls into energy-crisis-and-famine chaos and eventually come out on top in the end.
Really, click through and read it.
It is terrifyingly plausible. And, well, just flat-out terrifying: essentially, that Putin is playing the really, really long game and banking on the Russia having "we endure horrible things" baked into their national mythos so much that if he can damage the global economy enough-- and sanctions on Russia are damaging the rest of the global economy, and as long as China will still trade with Russia, Russia can actually survive that-- Russia will pull through the chaos on that austere-tradition-and-endurance thing while the rest of the globe falls into energy-crisis-and-famine chaos and eventually come out on top in the end.
Really, click through and read it.
